Gavião
BelenenseExpected goals 1.62 vs 1.25. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoCombo Double chance : draw or Belenense and +1.5 goals
22h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Expected goals: Gavião 1.62 vs Belenense 1.25.
That gives 45% home win, 26% draw, 29% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Combo Double chance : draw or Belenense and +1.5 goals
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavião win | 45% | 2.22 | - | - |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | - | - |
| Belenense win | 29% | 3.50 | - | - |
| Gavião (draw no bet) | 61% | 1.63 | - | - |
| Belenense (draw no bet) | 39% | 2.58 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.