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Friendlies Clubs · Club FriendliesSources agreeFri, Oct 2 04:00 PM
Teuta Durrës
vs
FK Kukesi
My Model1
48%25%27%
xG 1.7-1.2O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.66 vs 1.18. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Double chance : Teuta Durrës or draw

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Teuta Durrës 1.66 vs FK Kukesi 1.18.

That gives 48% home win, 25% draw, 27% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Teuta Durrës or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Teuta Durrës win
48%		2.10--
Draw
26%		3.83--
FK Kukesi win
26%		3.81--
Teuta Durrës (draw no bet)
65%		1.55--
FK Kukesi (draw no bet)
35%		2.82--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Teuta Durrës

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

FK Kukesi

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Teuta Durrës recent form

  • W9/18/2026Vllaznia Shkodër 0-2 Teuta Durrës
  • W9/12/2026Teuta Durrës 2-0 Vora
  • W9/5/2026Laci 1-3 Teuta Durrës
  • W8/30/2026Teuta Durrës 3-1 Tirana
  • D8/22/2026Partizani 0-0 Teuta Durrës

FK Kukesi recent form

  • W9/20/2026FK Kukesi 3-0 Korabi Peshkopi
  • L9/16/2026FK Kukesi 0-3 Pogradeci
  • L9/12/2026Iliria Fushë-Krujë 3-1 FK Kukesi
  • W9/5/2026FK Kukesi 2-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë
  • L8/12/2026FK Kukesi 1-4 Besa Kavajë

Head to head

No past matches stored.