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Friendlies Clubs · Club FriendliesSources agreeFri, Oct 2 02:30 PM
Zrinjski
vs
Jadran LP
My Model1
48%24%27%
xG 1.8-1.3O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.77 vs 1.29. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
50%50%0%

Double chance : Zrinjski or draw

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Zrinjski 1.77 vs Jadran LP 1.29.

That gives 48% home win, 24% draw, 27% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Zrinjski or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Zrinjski win
48%
2.09--
Draw
25%
4.00--
Jadran LP win
27%
3.69--
Zrinjski (draw no bet)
64%
1.57--
Jadran LP (draw no bet)
36%
2.76--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Zrinjski

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Jadran LP

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Zrinjski recent form

  • W9/27/2026Radnik Bijeljina 0-1 Zrinjski
  • D9/26/2026Zrinjski 0-0 Vojvodina
  • W9/19/2026Zrinjski 2-0 Velež
  • L9/12/2026Borac Banja Luka 1-0 Zrinjski
  • W9/6/2026Zrinjski 2-1 Siroki Brijeg

Jadran LP recent form

  • W9/26/2026Jadran LP 1-0 Kustosija
  • W9/19/2026Vukovar 2-3 Jadran LP
  • W9/12/2026Jadran LP 1-0 Orijent 1919
  • L9/6/2026Bsk Bijelo Brdo 1-0 Jadran LP
  • D9/2/2026Jadran LP 1-1 Dubrava Zagreb

Head to head