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Friendlies Clubs · Club FriendliesSources agreeFri, Oct 2 02:30 PM
WSPG Wels
vs
Austria Salzburg
My Model2
22%20%59%
xG 1.4-2.4O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.44 vs 2.41. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

20h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%

Combo Winner : Austria Salzburg and +1.5 goals

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: WSPG Wels 1.44 vs Austria Salzburg 2.41.

That gives 22% home win, 20% draw, 59% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Winner : Austria Salzburg and +1.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
WSPG Wels win
21%
4.66--
Draw
20%
4.95--
Austria Salzburg win
58%
1.71--
WSPG Wels (draw no bet)
27%
3.72--
Austria Salzburg (draw no bet)
73%
1.37--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

WSPG Wels

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Austria Salzburg

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

WSPG Wels recent form

  • L9/18/2026WSPG Wels 1-3 First Vienna
  • L9/12/2026FC BW Linz 4-1 WSPG Wels
  • L8/28/2026WSPG Wels 1-3 Admira Wacker
  • D8/21/2026SKU Amstetten 1-1 WSPG Wels
  • L8/14/2026WSPG Wels 1-2 Rapid Wien II

Austria Salzburg recent form

  • L9/19/2026Voitsberg 2-1 Austria Salzburg
  • D9/12/2026Austria Salzburg 3-3 Sturm Graz II
  • L8/28/2026SKN ST. Polten 1-0 Austria Salzburg
  • W8/21/2026Austria Salzburg 3-2 SV Kapfenberg
  • L8/15/2026Austria Vienna (Am) 3-1 Austria Salzburg

Head to head