Botev Plovdiv
Septemvri SofiaExpected goals 2.48 vs 1.01. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
22h agoDouble chance : Botev Plovdiv or draw
23h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Expected goals: Botev Plovdiv 2.48 vs Septemvri Sofia 1.01.
That gives 69% home win, 18% draw, 13% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Double chance : Botev Plovdiv or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv win | 69% | 1.45 | - | - |
| Draw | 18% | 5.48 | - | - |
| Septemvri Sofia win | 13% | 7.77 | - | - |
| Botev Plovdiv (draw no bet) | 84% | 1.19 | - | - |
| Septemvri Sofia (draw no bet) | 16% | 6.35 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.