Zlin
ProstějovMy Model2
27%23%50%
xG 1.4-1.9O2.5BTTS yes
Expected goals 1.39 vs 1.94. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoAPI-Football1
45%45%10%
Double chance : Zlin or draw
22h agoBookmakers1
56%24%21%
O2.5
Bet365 · 22h agoZlinProstějovStadion Letna, Zlin · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Not fetched yet
Why the model thinks this
Expected goals: Zlin 1.39 vs Prostějov 1.94.
That gives 27% home win, 23% draw, 50% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home -28.8 pts, draw -0.5 pts, away 29.3 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Zlin or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
All markets
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlin win | 27% | 3.73 | 1.60 | -57% |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 | 3.80 | -10% |
| Prostějov win | 50% | 2.02 | 4.33 | +115% |
| Zlin (draw no bet) | 35% | 2.85 | - | - |
| Prostějov (draw no bet) | 65% | 1.54 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
Bookmaker comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 27% / 23% / 50% | ||||
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 56% / 24% / 21% | 11.9% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineups & absences
Zlin
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Prostějov
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Zlin recent form
- D9/20/2026FK Jablonec 1-1 Zlin
- W9/16/2026Havířov 0-4 Zlin
- L9/13/2026Zlin 1-2 Hradec Králové
- L9/6/2026Zlin 1-3 Teplice
- L8/29/2026Zbrojovka Brno 3-2 Zlin
Prostějov recent form
- D9/18/2026Prostějov 2-2 Dukla Praha
- D9/12/2026Arsenal Česká Lípa 0-0 Prostějov
- D9/9/2026Prostějov 2-2 Sigma Olomouc
- D9/4/2026Prostějov 1-1 Táborsko
- L8/29/2026Hanácká 2-1 Prostějov
Head to head
No past matches stored.