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Friendlies Clubs · Club FriendliesSources agreeFri, Oct 2 09:00 AM
Komárno
vs
Ajka
My Model1
50%28%22%
xG 1.4-0.9U2.5BTTS no

Expected goals 1.43 vs 0.86. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

20h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Double chance : Komárno or draw

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Komárno 1.43 vs Ajka 0.86.

That gives 50% home win, 28% draw, 22% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Komárno or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Komárno win
49%		2.02--
Draw
29%		3.45--
Ajka win
22%		4.63--
Komárno (draw no bet)
70%		1.44--
Ajka (draw no bet)
30%		3.29--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Komárno

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Ajka

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Komárno recent form

  • L9/19/2026Komárno 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
  • D9/13/2026Podbrezová 1-1 Komárno
  • W9/8/2026Novohrad Lučenec 0-2 Komárno
  • D9/5/2026Komárno 0-0 Skalica
  • D8/29/2026Dukla Banská Bystrica 2-2 Komárno

Ajka recent form

  • W9/19/2026Ajka 1-0 Csakvar
  • L9/5/2026Ajka 0-3 Soroksar
  • W8/30/2026Szentlőrinc SE 0-1 Ajka
  • W8/22/2026Ajka 2-0 Nagykanizsai ULE
  • D8/15/2026Diosgyori VTK 1-1 Ajka

Head to head