América Mineiro U20
Itabirito U20Expected goals 2.66 vs 0.91. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoWinner : América Mineiro U20
22h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Expected goals: América Mineiro U20 2.66 vs Itabirito U20 0.91.
That gives 74% home win, 16% draw, 10% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Winner : América Mineiro U20
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América Mineiro U20 win | 74% | 1.35 | - | - |
| Draw | 16% | 6.20 | - | - |
| Itabirito U20 win | 10% | 10.12 | - | - |
| América Mineiro U20 (draw no bet) | 88% | 1.13 | - | - |
| Itabirito U20 (draw no bet) | 12% | 8.49 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.