← All matches
Mineiro U20 · Semi-finalsSources agreeFri, Oct 2 01:00 PM
Boston City U20
vs
Nacional de Muriae U20
My Model1
62%20%18%
xG 2.4-1.2O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 2.36 vs 1.22. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

20h ago
API-Football1
35%35%30%

Double chance : Boston City U20 or draw

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Boston City U20 2.36 vs Nacional de Muriae U20 1.22.

That gives 62% home win, 20% draw, 18% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Boston City U20 or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Boston City U20 win
62%
1.61--
Draw
20%
4.98--
Nacional de Muriae U20 win
18%
5.61--
Boston City U20 (draw no bet)
78%
1.29--
Nacional de Muriae U20 (draw no bet)
22%
4.48--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Boston City U20

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Nacional de Muriae U20

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Boston City U20 recent form

  • W9/19/2026Boston City U20 4-0 Betim U20
  • W9/13/2026Social U20 2-5 Boston City U20
  • D9/8/2026Coimbra U20 1-1 Boston City U20
  • L9/5/2026Cruzeiro U20 3-2 Boston City U20
  • L8/30/2026Athletic Club MG U20 1-0 Boston City U20

Nacional de Muriae U20 recent form

  • L9/19/2026Atlético Mineiro U20 4-2 Nacional de Muriae U20
  • W9/12/2026Nacional de Muriae U20 2-0 Itabirito U20
  • L8/29/2026Nacional de Muriae U20 1-4 América Mineiro U20
  • W8/23/2026Social U20 1-2 Nacional de Muriae U20
  • D8/15/2026Nacional de Muriae U20 2-2 Cruzeiro U20

Head to head