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Friendlies Clubs · Club FriendliesSources agreeFri, Oct 2 02:30 PM
Luckenwalde
vs
Magdeburg II
My Model2
23%23%54%
xG 1.2-2.0O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.24 vs 1.98. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

20h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%

Double chance : draw or Magdeburg II

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Luckenwalde 1.24 vs Magdeburg II 1.98.

That gives 23% home win, 23% draw, 54% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Magdeburg II

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Luckenwalde win
23%		4.37--
Draw
23%		4.29--
Magdeburg II win
54%		1.86--
Luckenwalde (draw no bet)
30%		3.35--
Magdeburg II (draw no bet)
70%		1.43--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Luckenwalde

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Magdeburg II

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Luckenwalde recent form

  • L9/27/2026Luckenwalde 2-3 SV Babelsberg 03
  • L9/20/2026Greifswalder FC 3-1 Luckenwalde
  • L9/15/2026Luckenwalde 0-2 BFC Preussen
  • L9/12/2026Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 Luckenwalde
  • L8/30/2026Luckenwalde 0-2 BFC Dynamo

Magdeburg II recent form

  • L9/25/2026Magdeburg II 0-1 Altglienicke
  • L9/20/2026BFC Dynamo 4-1 Magdeburg II
  • L9/16/2026Magdeburg II 1-2 Erzgebirge Aue
  • L9/12/2026BFC Preussen 4-1 Magdeburg II
  • W8/30/2026RSV Eintracht 2-4 Magdeburg II

Head to head