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Friendlies Clubs · Club FriendliesSources agreeFri, Oct 2 01:00 PM
Podbeskidzie
vs
Třinec
My Model1
42%26%32%
xG 1.5-1.3O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.52 vs 1.32. Teams rate closely on recent goals.

20h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Double chance : Podbeskidzie or draw

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Podbeskidzie 1.52 vs Třinec 1.32.

That gives 42% home win, 26% draw, 32% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Podbeskidzie or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Podbeskidzie win
41%
2.43--
Draw
27%
3.73--
Třinec win
32%
3.12--
Podbeskidzie (draw no bet)
56%
1.78--
Třinec (draw no bet)
44%
2.28--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Podbeskidzie

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Třinec

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Podbeskidzie recent form

  • D9/20/2026Podbeskidzie 1-1 Unia Skierniewice
  • D9/12/2026Ruch Chorzów 3-3 Podbeskidzie
  • D9/6/2026Polonia Bytom 0-0 Podbeskidzie
  • L8/29/2026Puszcza Niepołomice 2-0 Podbeskidzie
  • D8/22/2026Podbeskidzie 1-1 Odra Opole

Třinec recent form

  • L9/20/2026Viktoria Žižkov 3-0 Třinec
  • L9/15/2026Třinec 0-3 Mlada Boleslav
  • W9/11/2026Třinec 3-2 Karviná
  • L9/4/2026Vlašim 2-1 Třinec
  • L8/29/2026Třinec 1-4 Baník Ostrava II

Head to head

No past matches stored.