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Friendlies Clubs · Club FriendliesSources agreeFri, Oct 2 12:30 PM
Lask Linz
vs
First Vienna
My Model1
58%22%20%
xG 2.0-1.1O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 2.05 vs 1.13. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

20h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Double chance : Lask Linz or draw

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Lask Linz 2.05 vs First Vienna 1.13.

That gives 58% home win, 22% draw, 20% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Lask Linz or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Lask Linz win
58%
1.73--
Draw
23%
4.43--
First Vienna win
20%
5.10--
Lask Linz (draw no bet)
75%
1.34--
First Vienna (draw no bet)
25%
3.95--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Lask Linz

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

First Vienna

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Lask Linz recent form

  • D9/20/2026TSV Hartberg 3-3 Lask Linz
  • L9/13/2026Sturm Graz 2-1 Lask Linz
  • L9/8/2026AEK Athens FC 1-0 Lask Linz
  • W9/1/2026Wolfsberger AC 1-3 Lask Linz
  • W8/29/2026Lask Linz 3-0 SCR Altach

First Vienna recent form

  • W9/18/2026WSPG Wels 1-3 First Vienna
  • W9/11/2026Rapid Wien II 0-2 First Vienna
  • W8/28/2026First Vienna 1-0 SKU Amstetten
  • W8/21/2026Admira Wacker 0-1 First Vienna
  • D8/16/2026First Vienna 2-2 FC Liefering

Head to head

No past matches stored.