Grasshoppers
Yverdon SportExpected goals 1.32 vs 1.87. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : Grasshoppers or draw
22h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Grasshoppers 1.32 vs Yverdon Sport 1.87.
That gives 27% home win, 24% draw, 50% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home -27.2 pts, draw -0.4 pts, away 27.5 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Grasshoppers or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grasshoppers win | 26% | 3.81 | 1.67 | -56% |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | 3.75 | -9% |
| Yverdon Sport win | 50% | 2.02 | 4.00 | +98% |
| Grasshoppers (draw no bet) | 35% | 2.89 | - | - |
| Yverdon Sport (draw no bet) | 65% | 1.53 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 27% / 24% / 50% | ||||
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 54% / 24% / 22% | 11.6% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
No past matches stored.