Sigma Olomouc
ŽilinaMy Model2
35%22%43%
xG 1.7-1.9O2.5BTTS yes
Expected goals 1.73 vs 1.94. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoAPI-Football1
45%45%10%
Winner : Sigma Olomouc
22h agoBookmakers1
43%25%32%
O2.5
Bet365 · 22h agoSigma OlomoucŽilinaAndruv Stadion, Olomouc · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Not fetched yet
Why the model thinks this
Expected goals: Sigma Olomouc 1.73 vs Žilina 1.94.
That gives 35% home win, 22% draw, 43% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home -9.0 pts, draw -2.3 pts, away 11.3 pts.
API-Football says: Winner : Sigma Olomouc
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
All markets
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc win | 34% | 2.91 | 2.05 | -30% |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 | 3.60 | -17% |
| Žilina win | 43% | 2.34 | 2.80 | +20% |
| Sigma Olomouc (draw no bet) | 45% | 2.25 | - | - |
| Žilina (draw no bet) | 55% | 1.80 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
Bookmaker comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 35% / 22% / 43% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 43% / 25% / 32% | 12.3% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineups & absences
Sigma Olomouc
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Žilina
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Sigma Olomouc recent form
- L9/20/2026Sigma Olomouc 0-3 Sparta Praha
- W9/13/2026Plzen 2-3 Sigma Olomouc
- D9/9/2026Prostějov 2-2 Sigma Olomouc
- W9/5/2026Sigma Olomouc 3-0 Bohemians 1905
- L8/29/2026Baník Ostrava 1-0 Sigma Olomouc
Žilina recent form
- W9/19/2026Žilina 2-1 AS Trencin
- D9/13/2026Slovan Bratislava 3-3 Žilina
- W9/9/2026Slovan Vavrečka 0-5 Žilina
- W9/5/2026Žilina 3-1 Podbrezová
- W8/30/2026Spartak Trnava 1-3 Žilina
Head to head
No past matches stored.