← All matches
Friendlies Clubs · Club FriendliesSources agreeFri, Oct 2 12:00 PM
Lille
vs
Zulte Waregem
My Model1
48%24%27%
xG 1.8-1.3O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.76 vs 1.27. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
35%35%30%

Double chance : Lille or draw

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Lille 1.76 vs Zulte Waregem 1.27.

That gives 48% home win, 24% draw, 27% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Lille or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Lille win
48%		2.08--
Draw
25%		3.98--
Zulte Waregem win
27%		3.73--
Lille (draw no bet)
64%		1.56--
Zulte Waregem (draw no bet)
36%		2.79--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Lille

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Zulte Waregem

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Lille recent form

  • L9/20/2026Nice 2-1 Lille
  • W9/13/2026Lille 2-0 Estac Troyes
  • L9/8/2026Lille 2-3 Real Betis
  • W9/3/2026Toulouse 0-1 Lille
  • D8/28/2026Lille 2-2 Paris Saint Germain

Zulte Waregem recent form

  • L9/19/2026Anderlecht 3-0 Zulte Waregem
  • L9/13/2026Zulte Waregem 0-1 Charleroi
  • W9/6/2026Kortrijk 0-2 Zulte Waregem
  • D8/30/2026KVC Westerlo 2-2 Zulte Waregem
  • W8/22/2026Zulte Waregem 4-0 SK Beveren

Head to head

No past matches stored.