Aarhus
Vendsyssel FFMy Model1
44%25%31%
xG 1.7-1.4O2.5BTTS yes
Expected goals 1.69 vs 1.39. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
20h agoAPI-Football1
35%35%30%
Double chance : Aarhus or draw
21h agoBookmakers1
68%18%14%
O2.5
Bet365 · 21h agoAarhusVendsyssel FFKickoff 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Not fetched yet
Why the model thinks this
Expected goals: Aarhus 1.69 vs Vendsyssel FF 1.39.
That gives 44% home win, 25% draw, 31% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home -23.6 pts, draw 6.8 pts, away 16.8 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Aarhus or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
All markets
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus win | 44% | 2.28 | 1.33 | -42% |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | 5.00 | +27% |
| Vendsyssel FF win | 31% | 3.25 | 6.25 | +93% |
| Aarhus (draw no bet) | 59% | 1.70 | - | - |
| Vendsyssel FF (draw no bet) | 41% | 2.42 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
Bookmaker comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 44% / 25% / 31% | ||||
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.25 | 68% / 18% / 14% | 11.2% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineups & absences
Aarhus
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Vendsyssel FF
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Aarhus recent form
- D9/20/2026AC Horsens 2-2 Aarhus
- L9/13/2026FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 Aarhus
- D9/5/2026Aarhus 2-2 Silkeborg
- L9/2/2026Aarhus 0-2 FC Midtjylland
- L8/30/2026Randers FC 2-1 Aarhus
Vendsyssel FF recent form
- D9/20/2026Aalborg 2-2 Vendsyssel FF
- D9/11/2026Vendsyssel FF 0-0 Aarhus Fremad
- L9/4/2026Vejle 4-1 Vendsyssel FF
- W8/30/2026Esbjerg 0-2 Vendsyssel FF
- W8/20/2026Vendsyssel FF 1-0 Hillerød
Head to head
No past matches stored.