← All matches
Friendlies Clubs · Club FriendliesSources agreeFri, Oct 2 09:00 AM
Saint Etienne
vs
FC Sion
My Model2
37%20%43%
xG 2.2-2.3O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 2.17 vs 2.34. Teams rate closely on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%
O2.5

Combo Double chance : draw or FC Sion and +2.5 goals

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Saint Etienne 2.17 vs FC Sion 2.34.

That gives 37% home win, 20% draw, 43% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Sion and +2.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Saint Etienne win
37%
2.72--
Draw
20%
4.94--
FC Sion win
43%
2.33--
Saint Etienne (draw no bet)
46%
2.17--
FC Sion (draw no bet)
54%
1.86--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Saint Etienne

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

FC Sion

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Saint Etienne recent form

  • D9/19/2026Metz 2-2 Saint Etienne
  • L9/12/2026Dunkerque 2-1 Saint Etienne
  • W9/5/2026Saint Etienne 3-1 Montpellier
  • W8/31/2026Dijon 2-3 Saint Etienne
  • W8/22/2026Saint Etienne 4-0 Grenoble

FC Sion recent form

  • L9/24/2026Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 4-2 FC Sion
  • D9/19/2026FC Sion 1-1 FC Zurich
  • W9/15/2026Grasshoppers 2-5 FC Sion
  • W9/12/2026FC ST. Gallen 0-3 FC Sion
  • W9/6/2026FC Sion 3-2 FC Thun

Head to head

No past matches stored.