Teleghma
NC MagraMy Model1
43%29%28%
xG 1.3-1.0U2.5BTTS no
Expected goals 1.33 vs 1.02. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
20h agoAPI-Football2
10%45%45%
Double chance : draw or NC Magra
21h agoBookmakers1
41%31%28%
U2.5
Bet365 · 21h agoTeleghmaNC MagraKickoff 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Not fetched yet
Why the model thinks this
Expected goals: Teleghma 1.33 vs NC Magra 1.02.
That gives 43% home win, 29% draw, 28% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 2.3 pts, draw -2.5 pts, away 0.2 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : draw or NC Magra
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
All markets
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teleghma win | 43% | 2.34 | 2.20 | -6% |
| Draw | 30% | 3.37 | 2.88 | -15% |
| NC Magra win | 28% | 3.62 | 3.25 | -10% |
| Teleghma (draw no bet) | 61% | 1.65 | - | - |
| NC Magra (draw no bet) | 39% | 2.55 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
Bookmaker comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 43% / 29% / 28% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 2.88 | 3.25 | 41% / 31% / 28% | 10.9% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineups & absences
Teleghma
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
NC Magra
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Teleghma recent form
- L9/26/2026Paradou AC 2-1 Teleghma
- D9/18/2026Teleghma 1-1 MSP Batna
- L5/9/2026Teleghma 1-3 Khroub
- L5/2/2026JS Bordj Ménaïel 4-2 Teleghma
- D4/21/2026Teleghma 1-1 Nrb Beni Oulbene
NC Magra recent form
- W9/26/2026NC Magra 1-0 US Chaouia
- L9/18/2026USM Annaba 3-0 NC Magra
- L5/9/2026NC Magra 0-2 JS Bordj Ménaïel
- L5/2/2026Nrb Beni Oulbene 4-0 NC Magra
- L4/21/2026IB Khémis El Khechna 2-1 NC Magra
Head to head
- L4/17/2026NC Magra 1-0 Teleghma
- D11/29/2025Teleghma 0-0 NC Magra