CA Batna
MSP BatnaExpected goals 1.46 vs 0.75. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : CA Batna or draw
22h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Expected goals: CA Batna 1.46 vs MSP Batna 0.75.
That gives 54% home win, 28% draw, 19% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 1.0 pts, draw -0.5 pts, away -0.5 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : CA Batna or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Batna win | 53% | 1.88 | 1.73 | -8% |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | 3.20 | -8% |
| MSP Batna win | 18% | 5.47 | 4.75 | -13% |
| CA Batna (draw no bet) | 74% | 1.34 | - | - |
| MSP Batna (draw no bet) | 26% | 3.91 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 54% / 28% / 19% | ||||
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.20 | 4.75 | 53% / 28% / 19% | 10.1% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.