Coimbra U20
Atlético Mineiro U20Expected goals 1.80 vs 1.99. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoCombo Double chance : draw or Atlético Mineiro U20 and +1.5 goals
22h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Expected goals: Coimbra U20 1.80 vs Atlético Mineiro U20 1.99.
That gives 35% home win, 22% draw, 43% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 10.5 pts, draw -2.1 pts, away -8.4 pts.
API-Football says: Combo Double chance : draw or Atlético Mineiro U20 and +1.5 goals
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coimbra U20 win | 35% | 2.86 | 3.60 | +26% |
| Draw | 23% | 4.44 | 3.70 | -17% |
| Atlético Mineiro U20 win | 42% | 2.35 | 1.75 | -26% |
| Coimbra U20 (draw no bet) | 45% | 2.21 | - | - |
| Atlético Mineiro U20 (draw no bet) | 55% | 1.82 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 35% / 22% / 43% | ||||
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.75 | 25% / 24% / 51% | 11.9% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.