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Friendlies Clubs · Club FriendliesSources agreeFri, Oct 2 10:00 AM
IF Elfsborg
vs
BK Hacken
My Model1
41%27%32%
xG 1.4-1.2U2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.43 vs 1.23. Teams rate closely on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Double chance : IF Elfsborg or draw

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: IF Elfsborg 1.43 vs BK Hacken 1.23.

That gives 41% home win, 27% draw, 32% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : IF Elfsborg or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
IF Elfsborg win
41%
2.46--
Draw
28%
3.59--
BK Hacken win
31%
3.18--
IF Elfsborg (draw no bet)
56%
1.77--
BK Hacken (draw no bet)
44%
2.29--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

IF Elfsborg

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

BK Hacken

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

IF Elfsborg recent form

  • W9/20/2026Djurgardens IF 1-2 IF Elfsborg
  • W9/13/2026IF Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar FF
  • L9/6/2026IF Brommapojkarna 2-1 IF Elfsborg
  • W8/29/2026IF Elfsborg 2-0 Degerfors IF
  • D8/23/2026IFK Goteborg 1-1 IF Elfsborg

BK Hacken recent form

  • W9/20/2026Kalmar FF 0-5 BK Hacken
  • D9/11/2026BK Hacken 1-1 Mjallby AIF
  • D9/5/2026Gais 0-0 BK Hacken
  • L8/29/2026BK Hacken 1-3 Vasteras SK FK
  • W8/25/2026Utsikten 1-2 BK Hacken

Head to head