Widad Témara
UTS RabatExpected goals 1.33 vs 1.17. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : Widad Témara or draw
22h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Expected goals: Widad Témara 1.33 vs UTS Rabat 1.17.
That gives 40% home win, 28% draw, 32% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 2.5 pts, draw -4.9 pts, away 2.4 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Widad Témara or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widad Témara win | 39% | 2.54 | 2.40 | -6% |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | 2.70 | -22% |
| UTS Rabat win | 32% | 3.15 | 3.00 | -5% |
| Widad Témara (draw no bet) | 55% | 1.81 | - | - |
| UTS Rabat (draw no bet) | 45% | 2.24 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 40% / 28% / 32% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 2.70 | 3.00 | 37% / 33% / 30% | 12.0% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
No past matches stored.