PWD Sports Club
Brothers UnionExpected goals 1.30 vs 0.95. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : PWD Sports Club or draw
22h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Expected goals: PWD Sports Club 1.30 vs Brothers Union 0.95.
That gives 44% home win, 29% draw, 27% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 1.2 pts, draw 3.1 pts, away -4.3 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : PWD Sports Club or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PWD Sports Club win | 44% | 2.30 | 2.10 | -9% |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 | 3.40 | +3% |
| Brothers Union win | 26% | 3.82 | 2.90 | -24% |
| PWD Sports Club (draw no bet) | 62% | 1.60 | - | - |
| Brothers Union (draw no bet) | 38% | 2.66 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 44% / 29% / 27% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 43% / 26% / 31% | 11.5% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.