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Premier League · Regular Season - 2Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 09:00 AM
Fakirerpool
vs
Mohammedan Dhaka
My Model2
18%22%60%
xG 1.0-2.0O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.01 vs 1.99. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

20h ago
API-Football2
0%50%50%

Combo Double chance : draw or Mohammedan Dhaka and -3.5 goals

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Shahid Barkat Stadium, Gazipur · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Fakirerpool 1.01 vs Mohammedan Dhaka 1.99.

That gives 18% home win, 22% draw, 60% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Double chance : draw or Mohammedan Dhaka and -3.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Fakirerpool win
18%
5.62--
Draw
23%
4.37--
Mohammedan Dhaka win
59%
1.69--
Fakirerpool (draw no bet)
23%
4.33--
Mohammedan Dhaka (draw no bet)
77%
1.30--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Fakirerpool

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Mohammedan Dhaka

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Fakirerpool recent form

  • D9/22/2026Fortis 1-1 Fakirerpool
  • W9/18/2026Fakirerpool 2-1 Dhaka Wanderers
  • L5/23/2026Bashundhara Kings 4-1 Fakirerpool
  • L5/15/2026Fakirerpool 0-1 PWD Sports Club
  • L5/8/2026Fakirerpool 1-7 Fortis

Mohammedan Dhaka recent form

  • W5/23/2026Mohammedan Dhaka 5-0 Brothers Union
  • L5/20/2026Bashundhara Kings 3-2 Mohammedan Dhaka
  • L5/15/2026Rahmatgonj MFS 1-0 Mohammedan Dhaka
  • W5/12/2026Brothers Union 1-2 Mohammedan Dhaka
  • W5/9/2026Arambagh 0-2 Mohammedan Dhaka

Head to head