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League Cup · Group Stage - 2Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 03:45 PM
Khorfakkan
vs
Al-Jazira
My Model2
19%24%56%
xG 0.9-1.8O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 0.93 vs 1.76. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%

Combo Double chance : draw or Al-Jazira and -3.5 goals

23h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Khor Fakkan · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Khorfakkan 0.93 vs Al-Jazira 1.76.

That gives 19% home win, 24% draw, 56% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Double chance : draw or Al-Jazira and -3.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Khorfakkan win
19%
5.32--
Draw
25%
3.98--
Al-Jazira win
56%
1.78--
Khorfakkan (draw no bet)
25%
3.98--
Al-Jazira (draw no bet)
75%
1.34--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Khorfakkan

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Al-Jazira

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Khorfakkan recent form

  • L9/19/2026Al-Ittihad Kalba 2-1 Khorfakkan
  • D9/11/2026Khorfakkan 0-0 Baniyas SC
  • L9/4/2026Al-Wasl FC 5-2 Khorfakkan
  • W8/29/2026Khorfakkan 2-0 Al-Dhafra
  • L8/22/2026Al Ain 2-0 Khorfakkan

Al-Jazira recent form

  • W9/20/2026Al-Jazira 1-0 Al Wahda FC
  • D9/15/2026Gol Gohar 0-0 Al-Jazira
  • D9/10/2026Al-Jazira 1-1 Al Nasr
  • W9/5/2026Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-3 Al-Jazira
  • W8/29/2026Al-Jazira 3-0 Ajman

Head to head