Al-Wasl FC
Al-Ittihad KalbaExpected goals 2.88 vs 1.09. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoCombo Double chance : Al-Wasl FC or draw and +1.5 goals
22h agoZabeel Stadium, Dubai · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Expected goals: Al-Wasl FC 2.88 vs Al-Ittihad Kalba 1.09.
That gives 74% home win, 15% draw, 11% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 6.2 pts, draw -3.0 pts, away -3.2 pts.
API-Football says: Combo Double chance : Al-Wasl FC or draw and +1.5 goals
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Wasl FC win | 74% | 1.36 | 1.33 | -2% |
| Draw | 15% | 6.49 | 5.00 | -23% |
| Al-Ittihad Kalba win | 11% | 9.10 | 6.25 | -31% |
| Al-Wasl FC (draw no bet) | 87% | 1.15 | - | - |
| Al-Ittihad Kalba (draw no bet) | 13% | 7.70 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 74% / 15% / 11% | ||||
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.25 | 68% / 18% / 14% | 11.2% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.