Dhofar
Oman ClubExpected goals 1.32 vs 1.24. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : draw or Oman Club
22h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Dhofar 1.32 vs Oman Club 1.24.
That gives 38% home win, 28% draw, 34% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 7.0 pts, draw 0.4 pts, away -7.4 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Oman Club
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dhofar win | 38% | 2.66 | 2.90 | +9% |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | 3.25 | -7% |
| Oman Club win | 34% | 2.96 | 2.15 | -27% |
| Dhofar (draw no bet) | 53% | 1.90 | - | - |
| Oman Club (draw no bet) | 47% | 2.11 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 38% / 28% / 34% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.15 | 31% / 28% / 42% | 11.8% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.