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Liga III - Serie 8 · Group 8 - 7SplitFri, Oct 2 12:00 PM
Sânmartin
vs
Minaur Baia Mare
My Model1
42%26%32%
xG 1.6-1.3O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.57 vs 1.34. Teams rate closely on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%

Double chance : draw or Minaur Baia Mare

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Sânmartin 1.57 vs Minaur Baia Mare 1.34.

That gives 42% home win, 26% draw, 32% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Minaur Baia Mare

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Sânmartin win
42%		2.39--
Draw
26%		3.79--
Minaur Baia Mare win
32%		3.16--
Sânmartin (draw no bet)
57%		1.76--
Minaur Baia Mare (draw no bet)
43%		2.32--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Sânmartin

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Minaur Baia Mare

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Sânmartin recent form

  • D9/25/2026Sănătatea Cluj 1-1 Sânmartin
  • D9/22/2026Sânmartin 2-2 Crişul Sântandrei
  • D9/19/2026Sighetu Marmaţiei 1-1 Sânmartin
  • W9/11/2026Sânmartin 5-0 Unirea Tășnad
  • W9/5/2026Transilvania Sport Academy 1-3 Sânmartin

Minaur Baia Mare recent form

  • D9/26/2026Minaur Baia Mare 2-2 Viitorul Cluj
  • W9/22/2026Sănătatea Cluj 0-2 Minaur Baia Mare
  • W9/19/2026Minaur Baia Mare 5-1 Unirea Dej
  • L9/12/2026Crişul Sântandrei 1-0 Minaur Baia Mare
  • W9/5/2026Minaur Baia Mare 3-1 Academica Recea

Head to head