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Liga III - Serie 7 · Group 7 - 7Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 12:00 PM
Universitatea Alba Iulia
vs
Unirea Sântana
My Model2
29%25%46%
xG 1.3-1.7O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.28 vs 1.67. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%

Double chance : draw or Unirea Sântana

23h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Universitatea Alba Iulia 1.28 vs Unirea Sântana 1.67.

That gives 29% home win, 25% draw, 46% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Unirea Sântana

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Universitatea Alba Iulia win
29%
3.51--
Draw
26%
3.87--
Unirea Sântana win
46%
2.19--
Universitatea Alba Iulia (draw no bet)
38%
2.60--
Unirea Sântana (draw no bet)
62%
1.62--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Universitatea Alba Iulia

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Unirea Sântana

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Universitatea Alba Iulia recent form

  • L9/25/2026Timişul Şag 1-0 Universitatea Alba Iulia
  • L9/22/2026Progresul Pecica 6-0 Universitatea Alba Iulia
  • D9/18/2026Universitatea Alba Iulia 0-0 Cetate Deva
  • L9/11/2026Poli Timisoara 2 3-2 Universitatea Alba Iulia
  • D9/4/2026Universitatea Alba Iulia 2-2 Viitorul Arad

Unirea Sântana recent form

  • W9/26/2026Unirea Sântana 4-1 Progresul Pecica
  • W9/22/2026Cetate Deva 0-3 Unirea Sântana
  • W9/19/2026Unirea Sântana 4-1 Poli Timisoara 2
  • L9/12/2026Viitorul Arad 1-0 Unirea Sântana
  • W9/5/2026Unirea Sântana 2-0 Nera Bogodinţi

Head to head