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Liga III - Serie 5 · Group 5 - 7Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 12:00 PM
Voluntari II
vs
Alexandria
My Model2
22%24%54%
xG 1.1-1.8O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.12 vs 1.83. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

22h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%

Double chance : draw or Alexandria

23h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Voluntari II 1.12 vs Alexandria 1.83.

That gives 22% home win, 24% draw, 54% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Alexandria

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Voluntari II win
22%
4.49--
Draw
25%
4.06--
Alexandria win
53%
1.88--
Voluntari II (draw no bet)
30%
3.38--
Alexandria (draw no bet)
70%
1.42--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Voluntari II

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Alexandria

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Voluntari II recent form

  • W9/25/2026Oxigen Bucuresti 1-2 Voluntari II
  • L9/22/2026Voluntari II 2-3 LPS HD Clinceni
  • D9/18/2026Cetatea 2-2 Voluntari II
  • L9/11/2026Voluntari II 0-1 Dinamo Bucureşti II
  • L9/4/2026Progresul Mogosoaia 1-0 Voluntari II

Alexandria recent form

  • W9/25/2026Alexandria 2-0 Axi Adunații-Copăceni
  • W9/22/2026FCSB II 1-3 Alexandria
  • D9/18/2026Alexandria 2-2 Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
  • L9/12/2026Omega Sport 1-0 Alexandria
  • W9/4/2026Alexandria 1-0 Progresul Spartac

Head to head

No past matches stored.