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Liga III - Serie 5 · Group 5 - 7SplitFri, Oct 2 02:00 PM
Cetatea
vs
LPS HD Clinceni
My Model1
52%20%28%
xG 2.4-1.8O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 2.43 vs 1.77. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%
O2.5

Combo Double chance : draw or LPS HD Clinceni and +2.5 goals

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Cetatea 2.43 vs LPS HD Clinceni 1.77.

That gives 52% home win, 20% draw, 28% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Double chance : draw or LPS HD Clinceni and +2.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Cetatea win
52%
1.92--
Draw
20%
4.93--
LPS HD Clinceni win
28%
3.63--
Cetatea (draw no bet)
65%
1.53--
LPS HD Clinceni (draw no bet)
35%
2.89--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Cetatea

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

LPS HD Clinceni

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Cetatea recent form

  • D9/26/2026Progresul Mogosoaia 3-3 Cetatea
  • W9/22/2026Dinamo Bucureşti II 1-3 Cetatea
  • D9/18/2026Cetatea 2-2 Voluntari II
  • L9/11/2026Axi Adunații-Copăceni 1-0 Cetatea
  • W9/4/2026Cetatea 9-0 FCSB II

LPS HD Clinceni recent form

  • W9/25/2026LPS HD Clinceni 5-1 Dinamo Bucureşti II
  • W9/22/2026Voluntari II 2-3 LPS HD Clinceni
  • W9/18/2026LPS HD Clinceni 2-0 Axi Adunații-Copăceni
  • W9/11/2026FCSB II 2-4 LPS HD Clinceni
  • L9/4/2026LPS HD Clinceni 1-3 Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu

Head to head