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Liga III - Serie 5 · Group 5 - 7SplitFri, Oct 2 12:00 PM
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
vs
Progresul Spartac
My Model2
26%26%48%
xG 1.1-1.6O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.15 vs 1.64. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
35%35%30%

Combo Double chance : Axi Adunații-Copăceni or draw and -3.5 goals

23h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Axi Adunații-Copăceni 1.15 vs Progresul Spartac 1.64.

That gives 26% home win, 26% draw, 48% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Double chance : Axi Adunații-Copăceni or draw and -3.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Axi Adunații-Copăceni win
26%
3.87--
Draw
26%
3.80--
Progresul Spartac win
48%
2.09--
Axi Adunații-Copăceni (draw no bet)
35%
2.85--
Progresul Spartac (draw no bet)
65%
1.54--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Axi Adunații-Copăceni

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Progresul Spartac

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Axi Adunații-Copăceni recent form

  • L9/25/2026Alexandria 2-0 Axi Adunații-Copăceni
  • L9/22/2026Axi Adunații-Copăceni 0-1 Oxigen Bucuresti
  • L9/18/2026LPS HD Clinceni 2-0 Axi Adunații-Copăceni
  • W9/11/2026Axi Adunații-Copăceni 1-0 Cetatea
  • W9/4/2026Dinamo Bucureşti II 0-2 Axi Adunații-Copăceni

Progresul Spartac recent form

  • W9/26/2026Progresul Spartac 2-1 FCSB II
  • L9/23/2026Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 1-0 Progresul Spartac
  • L9/19/2026Progresul Spartac 0-1 Omega Sport
  • L9/12/2026Progresul Spartac 1-2 Progresul Mogosoaia
  • L9/4/2026Alexandria 1-0 Progresul Spartac

Head to head