Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Ind. JuniorsExpected goals 1.02 vs 0.97. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
54m agoDouble chance : draw or Ind. Juniors
21h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1.02 vs Ind. Juniors 0.97.
That gives 34% home win, 34% draw, 32% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home -1.6 pts, draw 4.4 pts, away -2.8 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Ind. Juniors
Model version dpois-1.202610022147
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca Juniors win | 35% | 2.88 | 2.50 | -13% |
| Draw | 33% | 3.02 | 3.00 | -1% |
| Ind. Juniors win | 32% | 3.11 | 2.60 | -16% |
| Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (draw no bet) | 52% | 1.92 | - | - |
| Ind. Juniors (draw no bet) | 48% | 2.08 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 34% / 34% / 32% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.60 | 36% / 30% / 34% | 11.8% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.