Portugal U20
Czechia U20Expected goals 1.90 vs 1.32. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : Portugal U20 or draw
22h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Expected goals: Portugal U20 1.90 vs Czechia U20 1.32.
That gives 51% home win, 23% draw, 26% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 6.7 pts, draw -0.6 pts, away -6.1 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Portugal U20 or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal U20 win | 50% | 1.99 | 2.05 | +3% |
| Draw | 24% | 4.17 | 3.75 | -10% |
| Czechia U20 win | 26% | 3.87 | 2.80 | -28% |
| Portugal U20 (draw no bet) | 66% | 1.51 | - | - |
| Czechia U20 (draw no bet) | 34% | 2.95 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 51% / 23% / 26% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.75 | 2.80 | 44% / 24% / 32% | 11.2% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.