Huracanes Izcalli
Atletico HidalgoExpected goals 1.81 vs 1.27. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
54m agoDouble chance : Huracanes Izcalli or draw
21h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Huracanes Izcalli 1.81 vs Atletico Hidalgo 1.27.
That gives 49% home win, 26% draw, 26% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 8.1 pts, draw 0.6 pts, away -8.7 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Huracanes Izcalli or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610022147
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracanes Izcalli win | 49% | 2.03 | 2.20 | +8% |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 | 3.60 | -11% |
| Atletico Hidalgo win | 26% | 3.84 | 2.62 | -32% |
| Huracanes Izcalli (draw no bet) | 65% | 1.53 | - | - |
| Atletico Hidalgo (draw no bet) | 35% | 2.89 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 49% / 26% / 26% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.62 | 41% / 25% / 34% | 11.4% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
No past matches stored.