Tammeka
ViimsiMy Model1
57%17%26%
xG 2.9-2.0O2.5BTTS yes
Expected goals 2.94 vs 2.02. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
21h agoAPI-Football1
45%45%10%
Combo Winner : Tammeka and +6.5 goals
22h agoBookmakers1
56%22%22%
O2.5
Bet365 · 22h agoTammekaViimsiTamme Stadium, Tartu · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Not fetched yet
Why the model thinks this
Expected goals: Tammeka 2.94 vs Viimsi 2.02.
That gives 57% home win, 17% draw, 26% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 1.1 pts, draw -4.9 pts, away 3.8 pts.
API-Football says: Combo Winner : Tammeka and +6.5 goals
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
All markets
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tammeka win | 57% | 1.76 | 1.60 | -9% |
| Draw | 18% | 5.64 | 4.00 | -29% |
| Viimsi win | 25% | 3.93 | 4.10 | +4% |
| Tammeka (draw no bet) | 69% | 1.45 | - | - |
| Viimsi (draw no bet) | 31% | 3.23 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
Bookmaker comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 57% / 17% / 26% | ||||
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 56% / 22% / 22% | 11.9% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineups & absences
Tammeka
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Viimsi
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Tammeka recent form
- L9/20/2026Tammeka 1-3 Kalju Nomme
- L9/17/2026FC Levadia Tallinn 6-0 Tammeka
- W9/13/2026Kuressaare 1-3 Tammeka
- L9/9/2026Tammeka 0-2 Paide
- W9/6/2026Laagri 0-2 Tammeka
Viimsi recent form
- L9/17/2026Viimsi 0-2 Tartu Welco
- L9/13/2026Nõmme United II 1-0 Viimsi
- W9/10/2026Viimsi 5-0 Elva
- L9/3/2026Viimsi 1-2 FC Tallinn
- W8/29/2026Tartu Welco 1-3 Viimsi
Head to head
- W2/15/2026Tammeka 2-0 Viimsi