Ulinzi Stars
Mathare UnitedExpected goals 1.18 vs 0.94. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : draw or Mathare United
22h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Expected goals: Ulinzi Stars 1.18 vs Mathare United 0.94.
That gives 41% home win, 31% draw, 28% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Mathare United
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars win | 40% | 2.48 | - | - |
| Draw | 32% | 3.16 | - | - |
| Mathare United win | 28% | 3.56 | - | - |
| Ulinzi Stars (draw no bet) | 59% | 1.70 | - | - |
| Mathare United (draw no bet) | 41% | 2.44 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.