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FKF Premier League · Regular Season - 5Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 12:00 PM
Nairobi United
vs
Bandari
My Model1
41%33%26%
xG 1.1-0.8U2.5BTTS no

Expected goals 1.08 vs 0.80. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

20h ago
API-Football1
50%50%0%

Double chance : Nairobi United or draw

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Nairobi United 1.08 vs Bandari 0.80.

That gives 41% home win, 33% draw, 26% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Nairobi United or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Nairobi United win
41%
2.46--
Draw
34%
2.97--
Bandari win
26%
3.90--
Nairobi United (draw no bet)
61%
1.63--
Bandari (draw no bet)
39%
2.58--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Nairobi United

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Bandari

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Nairobi United recent form

  • W5/31/2026GOR Mahia 0-1 Nairobi United
  • D5/24/2026Nairobi United 0-0 Police
  • D5/16/2026Nairobi United 2-2 Posta Rangers FC
  • L5/10/2026Kariobangi Sharks 2-0 Nairobi United
  • W5/6/2026Nairobi United 1-0 Tusker

Bandari recent form

  • L5/31/2026Mathare United 1-0 Bandari
  • W5/24/2026Bandari 1-0 Tusker
  • L5/20/2026Bandari 0-2 APS Bomet
  • D5/10/2026KCB 2-2 Bandari
  • D5/6/2026Bandari 1-1 Posta Rangers FC

Head to head