GOR Mahia
KCBExpected goals 1.42 vs 0.89. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : GOR Mahia or draw
22h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Expected goals: GOR Mahia 1.42 vs KCB 0.89.
That gives 49% home win, 28% draw, 23% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Double chance : GOR Mahia or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOR Mahia win | 48% | 2.07 | - | - |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 | - | - |
| KCB win | 23% | 4.43 | - | - |
| GOR Mahia (draw no bet) | 68% | 1.47 | - | - |
| KCB (draw no bet) | 32% | 3.14 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.