APS Bomet
Murang'a SEALExpected goals 1.37 vs 0.99. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
20h agoDouble chance : draw or Murang'a SEAL
21h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Expected goals: APS Bomet 1.37 vs Murang'a SEAL 0.99.
That gives 45% home win, 29% draw, 27% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Murang'a SEAL
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APS Bomet win | 45% | 2.24 | - | - |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 | - | - |
| Murang'a SEAL win | 26% | 3.83 | - | - |
| APS Bomet (draw no bet) | 63% | 1.59 | - | - |
| Murang'a SEAL (draw no bet) | 37% | 2.71 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.