Al Ahli SC W
Al Nassr WExpected goals 2.01 vs 3.25. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
20h agoCombo Winner : Al Nassr W and +2.5 goals
21h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Expected goals: Al Ahli SC W 2.01 vs Al Nassr W 3.25.
That gives 22% home win, 16% draw, 62% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Combo Winner : Al Nassr W and +2.5 goals
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli SC W win | 22% | 4.61 | - | - |
| Draw | 16% | 6.18 | - | - |
| Al Nassr W win | 62% | 1.61 | - | - |
| Al Ahli SC W (draw no bet) | 26% | 3.86 | - | - |
| Al Nassr W (draw no bet) | 74% | 1.35 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.