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Premier League Women · Regular Season - 4Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 03:05 PM
Al Qadisiya W
vs
Neom SC W
My Model1
88%7%4%
xG 4.1-1.0O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 4.13 vs 1.02. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
50%50%0%

Combo Winner : Al Qadisiya W and +4.5 goals

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 3:05:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Al Qadisiya W 4.13 vs Neom SC W 1.02.

That gives 88% home win, 7% draw, 4% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Winner : Al Qadisiya W and +4.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Al Qadisiya W win
88%		1.13--
Draw
8%		13.17--
Neom SC W win
4%		23.39--
Al Qadisiya W (draw no bet)
95%		1.05--
Neom SC W (draw no bet)
5%		21.61--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Al Qadisiya W

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Neom SC W

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Al Qadisiya W recent form

  • W9/25/2026Al Ittihad W 1-2 Al Qadisiya W
  • W9/18/2026Al Qadisiya W 14-0 Al Taraji W
  • W9/12/2026Al-Ula W 0-1 Al Qadisiya W
  • D4/23/2026Al Qadisiya W 2-2 Al Ahli SC W
  • W4/3/2026Eastern Flames W 0-9 Al Qadisiya W

Neom SC W recent form

  • D9/24/2026Neom SC W 1-1 Al Ahli SC W
  • L9/17/2026Neom SC W 0-4 Al-Ula W
  • L9/10/2026Al Nassr W 3-0 Neom SC W
  • D4/23/2026Al Ittihad W 0-0 Neom SC W
  • L4/3/2026Neom SC W 0-2 Al Nassr W

Head to head