Fleetwood Town U21
Sheffield Wednesday U21Expected goals 1.41 vs 1.78. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : Fleetwood Town U21 or draw
22h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Expected goals: Fleetwood Town U21 1.41 vs Sheffield Wednesday U21 1.78.
That gives 30% home win, 24% draw, 46% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home -14.8 pts, draw 1.6 pts, away 13.2 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Fleetwood Town U21 or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town U21 win | 30% | 3.36 | 2.00 | -40% |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 | 4.00 | -1% |
| Sheffield Wednesday U21 win | 46% | 2.20 | 2.75 | +25% |
| Fleetwood Town U21 (draw no bet) | 40% | 2.53 | - | - |
| Sheffield Wednesday U21 (draw no bet) | 60% | 1.65 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 30% / 24% / 46% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 2.75 | 45% / 22% / 33% | 11.4% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.