← All matches
Kansallinen Liiga · Relegation Play-Off - 8Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 04:00 PM
PK-35 Vantaa W
vs
Honka W
My Model1
56%20%25%
xG 2.5-1.6O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 2.47 vs 1.64. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
35%35%30%

Combo Winner : PK-35 Vantaa W and +1.5 goals

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Myyrmaaen jalkapallostadion, Vantaa · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: PK-35 Vantaa W 2.47 vs Honka W 1.64.

That gives 56% home win, 20% draw, 25% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Winner : PK-35 Vantaa W and +1.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
PK-35 Vantaa W win
55%
1.80--
Draw
20%
5.00--
Honka W win
25%
4.08--
PK-35 Vantaa W (draw no bet)
69%
1.44--
Honka W (draw no bet)
31%
3.26--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

PK-35 Vantaa W

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Honka W

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

PK-35 Vantaa W recent form

  • W9/26/2026HJS Akatemia W 0-10 PK-35 Vantaa W
  • W9/17/2026PK-35 Vantaa W 6-0 JyPK W
  • W9/12/2026PK-35 Vantaa W 5-1 VIFK W
  • D8/29/2026EBK W 2-2 PK-35 Vantaa W
  • L8/23/2026Honka W 2-1 PK-35 Vantaa W

Honka W recent form

  • L9/26/2026Honka W 2-3 VIFK W
  • D9/20/2026Honka W 1-1 EBK W
  • W9/11/2026JyPK W 0-3 Honka W
  • L8/30/2026Honka W 1-3 HJS Akatemia W
  • W8/23/2026Honka W 2-1 PK-35 Vantaa W

Head to head