Seekirchen
GurtenMy Model1
38%26%36%
xG 1.4-1.4O2.5BTTS yes
Expected goals 1.45 vs 1.42. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
20h agoAPI-Football1
33%33%33%
No predictions available
21h agoBookmakers2
34%23%42%
O2.5
Bet365 · 21h agoSeekirchenGurtenKickoff 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Not fetched yet
Why the model thinks this
Expected goals: Seekirchen 1.45 vs Gurten 1.42.
That gives 38% home win, 26% draw, 36% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 3.4 pts, draw 2.6 pts, away -6.0 pts.
API-Football says: No predictions available
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
All markets
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seekirchen win | 37% | 2.68 | 2.60 | -3% |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | 3.80 | +2% |
| Gurten win | 36% | 2.78 | 2.10 | -25% |
| Seekirchen (draw no bet) | 51% | 1.96 | - | - |
| Gurten (draw no bet) | 49% | 2.04 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
Bookmaker comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 38% / 26% / 36% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.80 | 2.10 | 34% / 23% / 42% | 12.4% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineups & absences
Seekirchen
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Gurten
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Seekirchen recent form
- W9/26/2026Ried II 0-4 Seekirchen
- D9/18/2026Seekirchen 0-0 Wals-Grünau
- L9/11/2026Seekirchen 0-1 Wohnbau Dietach
- L9/4/2026TSV St. Johann 2-1 Seekirchen
- W8/28/2026Seekirchen 3-0 Wallern / Marienkirchen
Gurten recent form
- D9/26/2026Gurten 0-0 TSV St. Johann
- L9/18/2026Wallern / Marienkirchen 2-0 Gurten
- W9/11/2026Gurten 4-1 Pinzgau Saalfelden
- W9/4/2026Kuchl 0-1 Gurten
- D8/28/2026Gurten 1-1 LASK Juniors
Head to head
No past matches stored.