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Regionalliga - South · South - 9Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 05:00 PM
SV Lafnitz
vs
Hartberg (Am)
My Model1
49%22%29%
xG 2.1-1.6O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 2.09 vs 1.60. Teams rate closely on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Double chance : SV Lafnitz or draw

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Sportplatz Lafnitz, Lafnitz · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: SV Lafnitz 2.09 vs Hartberg (Am) 1.60.

That gives 49% home win, 22% draw, 29% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : SV Lafnitz or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
SV Lafnitz win
49%
2.06--
Draw
22%
4.47--
Hartberg (Am) win
29%
3.44--
SV Lafnitz (draw no bet)
63%
1.60--
Hartberg (Am) (draw no bet)
37%
2.67--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

SV Lafnitz

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Hartberg (Am)

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

SV Lafnitz recent form

  • D9/25/2026Weiz 3-3 SV Lafnitz
  • W9/18/2026Allerheiligen 1-3 SV Lafnitz
  • L9/11/2026SV Lafnitz 0-3 Deutschlandsberger SC
  • D9/1/2026SV Lafnitz 2-2 Kalsdorf
  • W8/28/2026Gleisdorf 09 1-3 SV Lafnitz

Hartberg (Am) recent form

  • W9/26/2026Hartberg (Am) 4-1 Gleisdorf 09
  • D9/19/2026Hartberg (Am) 2-2 Tillmitsch
  • L9/11/2026Kalsdorf 3-0 Hartberg (Am)
  • L9/4/2026Weiz 2-1 Hartberg (Am)
  • L8/30/2026Hartberg (Am) 1-4 Allerheiligen

Head to head