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Regionalliga - South · South - 9SplitFri, Oct 2 05:00 PM
Gleisdorf 09
vs
Tillmitsch
My Model1
42%23%35%
xG 1.8-1.7O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.82 vs 1.66. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

20h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%

Combo Double chance : draw or Tillmitsch and +1.5 goals

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Gleisdorf 09 1.82 vs Tillmitsch 1.66.

That gives 42% home win, 23% draw, 35% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Double chance : draw or Tillmitsch and +1.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Gleisdorf 09 win
41%
2.42--
Draw
24%
4.21--
Tillmitsch win
35%
2.87--
Gleisdorf 09 (draw no bet)
54%
1.84--
Tillmitsch (draw no bet)
46%
2.19--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Gleisdorf 09

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Tillmitsch

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Gleisdorf 09 recent form

  • L9/26/2026Hartberg (Am) 4-1 Gleisdorf 09
  • L9/18/2026Weiz 2-1 Gleisdorf 09
  • D9/11/2026Gleisdorf 09 1-1 Allerheiligen
  • L9/1/2026Deutschlandsberger SC 4-2 Gleisdorf 09
  • L8/28/2026Gleisdorf 09 1-3 SV Lafnitz

Tillmitsch recent form

  • L9/26/2026Kalsdorf 2-1 Tillmitsch
  • D9/19/2026Hartberg (Am) 2-2 Tillmitsch
  • D9/11/2026Tillmitsch 2-2 Weiz
  • L9/4/2026Allerheiligen 4-2 Tillmitsch
  • D8/28/2026Tillmitsch 2-2 Deutschlandsberger SC

Head to head