Mineiros
MorrinhosExpected goals 1.44 vs 0.90. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
2h agoDouble chance : Mineiros or draw
22h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Mineiros 1.44 vs Morrinhos 0.90.
That gives 48% home win, 30% draw, 22% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Double chance : Mineiros or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610022147
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineiros win | 49% | 2.05 | - | - |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | - | - |
| Morrinhos win | 23% | 4.44 | - | - |
| Mineiros (draw no bet) | 68% | 1.46 | - | - |
| Morrinhos (draw no bet) | 32% | 3.16 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.