7 de Abril
FriburguenseExpected goals 1.44 vs 1.11. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : draw or Friburguense
22h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Expected goals: 7 de Abril 1.44 vs Friburguense 1.11.
That gives 44% home win, 27% draw, 29% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Friburguense
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 de Abril win | 44% | 2.29 | - | - |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | - | - |
| Friburguense win | 28% | 3.56 | - | - |
| 7 de Abril (draw no bet) | 61% | 1.64 | - | - |
| Friburguense (draw no bet) | 39% | 2.55 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
No past matches stored.