Tanta SC
Haras El HodoodExpected goals 1.18 vs 0.83. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
20h agoCombo Double chance : draw or Haras El Hodood and -3.5 goals
21h agoTanta Stadium, Tanta · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Tanta SC 1.18 vs Haras El Hodood 0.83.
That gives 43% home win, 31% draw, 25% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 18.6 pts, draw -1.2 pts, away -17.3 pts.
API-Football says: Combo Double chance : draw or Haras El Hodood and -3.5 goals
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanta SC win | 43% | 2.33 | 3.70 | +59% |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 | 2.80 | -10% |
| Haras El Hodood win | 25% | 4.03 | 2.15 | -47% |
| Tanta SC (draw no bet) | 63% | 1.58 | - | - |
| Haras El Hodood (draw no bet) | 37% | 2.73 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 43% / 31% / 25% | ||||
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 2.80 | 2.15 | 25% / 33% / 43% | 9.3% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
No past matches stored.